{"id":12454,"date":"2023-09-16T09:37:11","date_gmt":"2023-09-16T09:37:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/prosfunds.com\/politics\/these-candidates-in-virginia-could-shape-how-both-parties-talk-about-abortion-in-2024\/"},"modified":"2023-09-16T09:37:12","modified_gmt":"2023-09-16T09:37:12","slug":"these-candidates-in-virginia-could-shape-how-both-parties-talk-about-abortion-in-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/prosfunds.com\/?p=12454","title":{"rendered":"These candidates in Virginia could shape how both parties talk about abortion in 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\n The new epicenter of America\u2019s fight over abortion rights is Henrico County, Virginia, where candidates in bellwether state elections this fall are staking out positions that could test how both parties will try to appeal to moderate voters in 2024.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThey don\u2019t want abortion illegal,\u201d GOP state Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant said of Virginia voters last weekend, sipping coffee as a heavy downpour ruined her plans for knocking on doors in this Richmond suburb.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThey want a woman to have a reasonable amount of time to figure out what she needs to do,\u201d she added, before explaining why she supports restricting access to abortion in the third trimester.\n <\/p>\n

\n That\u2019s not typically how Republican politicians broach the topic. But Dunnavant, an OB-GYN, is airing a 60-second TV ad in which she speaks directly to the camera about her abortion position \u2013 namely that it should be legal up to 15 weeks, with some exceptions.\n <\/p>\n

\n Earlier in the day, before the skies had opened up, state Del. Schuyler VanValkenburg \u2013 Dunnavant\u2019s Democratic opponent in this competitive state Senate district \u2013 told a backyard rally that his campaign had hoped to focus on lowering the cost of living and improving education. But Dunnavant and GOP Gov. Glenn Youngkin, he said, had turned the election into something else.\n <\/p>\n

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\n <\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n \u201cMy opponent, the governor, launched these campaigns with a proposal to take away people\u2019s rights,\u201d VanValkenburg said, using language Democrats have often successfully deployed since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade last year.\n <\/p>\n

\n While many GOP-led states have toughened abortion restrictions since the fall of Roe, Virginia \u2013 with its split legislature \u2013 is the only Southern state that hasn\u2019t. And on post-Roe ballot initiatives across the country, voters have sided with the abortion rights position, even in traditionally red states.\n <\/p>\n

\n SEE NATIONWIDE ABORTION RULES HERE<\/em><\/strong>\n <\/p>\n

\n This fall\u2019s legislative races in Virginia will be the first major \u201ccandidate vs. candidate\u201d contests to spotlight the abortion issue since last year\u2019s midterms. Every seat in both the GOP-led state House and the Democratic-controlled state Senate is up for election.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThere\u2019s not like a referendum question on the ballot, but it is on the ballot,\u201d Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine said in an interview Saturday after the backyard rally, which was hosted by the mother of Democratic Rep. Abigail Spanberger, who represented the area for two terms prior to redistricting. (Spanberger\u2019s 2018 victory in what had long been a GOP-dominated district highlighted the suburban area\u2019s move away from Republicans under Donald Trump.)\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Kaine<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Kaine and his Democratic colleague, Sen. Mark Warner, have been trying to convince donors who were engaged in other states\u2019 abortion-related ballot measures to step into Virginia \u2013 which backed Joe Biden by 10 points in 2020 and then voted for Youngkin by 2 points the following year. At the senators\u2019 urging, Biden recently directed the Democratic National Committee to send $1.2 million for party campaign operations in Virginia. But that\u2019s dwarfed by the $12 million Youngkin\u2019s political action committee raised in the six months from March to August this year.\n <\/p>\n

\n The stakes in November are high \u2013 for Youngkin, whose political ambitions likely rest on whether his party can win full control of Virginia government, and for 2024 candidates trying to figure out how to talk about abortion.\n <\/p>\n

\n Dunnavant\u2019s staff had warned her Saturday that a storm was on the way and her door-knocking plans might be in jeopardy.\n <\/p>\n

\n But she was having trouble getting away from the Festival of India at the Greater Richmond Convention Center. Seemingly every third person wanted to greet Dunnavant, who was quick to give a hug or take a photo.\n <\/p>\n

\n First elected to the Virginia Senate in 2015, Dunnavant is now seeking an open seat that\u2019s more Democratic than her current district. But many voters still see her as the incumbent, and she argues that her personal and professional experiences \u2013 she\u2019s currently the only medical doctor in the legislature \u2013 inform her position on abortion.\n <\/p>\n

\n While most GOP candidates in Virginia this year have, publicly at least, coalesced around the Youngkin-endorsed 15-week limit \u2013 with exceptions for rape, incest and life of the mother \u2013 Dunnavant differs slightly. She wants those exceptions to include \u201csevere fetal anomalies.\u201d But she also believes that most exceptions, besides life of the mother, shouldn\u2019t extend past the \u201crealm of viability.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Republican<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Current Virginia law allows abortions through about 26 weeks. After that, three physicians must sign off on an abortion. In a Washington Post-Schar School poll released in early April, three-quarters of registered Virginia voters said the state\u2019s abortion law \u2013 which the survey did not describe \u2013 should either remain as it is or be loosened. Voters were about evenly split, however, on the 15-week proposal with exceptions.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI felt very personally a responsibility to step forward when Dobbs came through because it was now something that wasn\u2019t a national discussion,\u201d Dunnavant said, referring to the Supreme Court ruling that ended Roe v. Wade as she explained her focus on abortion in the legislature \u2013 and now her campaign.\n <\/p>\n

\n After struggling to form an effective abortion message post-Dobbs, more national Republicans seem to be acknowledging the political peril of ignoring the topic.\n <\/p>\n

\n Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel praised the presidential candidates for at least talking about abortion at last month\u2019s first primary debate. And there\u2019s increasing reflection about how to talk about it. One Nation \u2013 a GOP outside group allied with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell \u2013 recently conducted research that was shared with Republican senators suggesting candidates must be specific about what being \u201cpro-life\u201d means and should talk about their support for exceptions, according to a person familiar with the group\u2019s polling.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThe ground has shifted and a new approach is required,\u201d Liesl Hickey, a GOP strategist and Dunnavant\u2019s ad maker, said in an email. \u201cWhen attacked, candidates in toss up areas need to return fire and not let Democrats define the debate.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Tammy Campbell isn\u2019t buying Dunnavant\u2019s pitch. Like a lot of Virginians, the 53-year-old Glen Allen resident wants abortion to be legal, even if she thinks having the procedure at the very end of a pregnancy \u201cwould be like murder.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe fought so hard to get these rights, and now they\u2019re trying to take them away from us,\u201d the self-described \u201cold school Democrat,\u201d who\u2019s backing VanValkenburg, told CNN.\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s not Dunnavant\u2019s 15-week position that turns Campbell off, although she thinks the restriction could be pushed back further into pregnancy. It\u2019s the threat of what else a GOP-controlled legislature could do.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"People<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n \u201cMy fear is that we will \u2013 because we\u2019re a conservative state, as it is \u2013 we will revert to some of those states where these poor people were seeking (abortions) outside of their state,\u201d Campbell said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Fear drives a lot of this year\u2019s messaging about abortion. The political debate is often less about the candidates\u2019 stated positions than about the threat of what they could do in office.\n <\/p>\n

\n Virginia House Democrats have run an ad highlighting nearby states\u2019 stricter abortion laws and featuring a comment by a state House Republican candidate during the primaries that he would support a \u201c100% ban\u201d on abortion. \u201cMAGA Republicans in Richmond want Virginia to be next,\u201d the narrator in the Democratic ad says. Meanwhile, an ad from Virginia House Republicans says Democrats support \u201celective abortions up until birth\u201d \u2013 alluding to a 2019 bill that would have eased some requirements \u2013 as an image of VanValkenburg appears on screen.\n <\/p>\n

\n VanValkenburg said in an interview last week that he doesn\u2019t want to change current Virginia law. \u201cI don\u2019t think we should be messing with it,\u201d the history and government teacher said, adding, \u201cI think we need to take the law as-is and codify it into the constitution.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n While national Democrats largely haven\u2019t specified a time cutoff for abortion access, Virginia Democrats are running on the state\u2019s 26-week status quo, even if they don\u2019t always talk specifics.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThe Dobbs decision completely changed what Virginia voters are thinking about,\u201d Mamie Locke, the chair of the Virginia Senate Democratic Caucus, said in a phone interview last month. She pointed to the issue\u2019s salience in a state Senate special election earlier this year, in which Democrats flipped a GOP-held seat.\n <\/p>\n

\n Democratic media consultant Scott Kozar \u2013 who worked on that special election and a recent Ohio ballot measure and is now involved in multiple Virginia legislative races this fall, including VanValkenburg\u2019s \u2013 thinks the focus on freedoms and rights is paying dividends for Democrats, especially in politically evolving areas like this part of Virginia, which was once represented by Eric Cantor, the former House majority leader, and his tea party vanquisher Dave Brat.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThey were the freedom folks; now they\u2019re the control people,\u201d he said of Republicans.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cCollege-educated men are now in play for us,\u201d he added. \u201cNot saying they\u2019re going to vote for us, but they\u2019re a persuadable audience now.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n At last weekend\u2019s Democratic backyard rally, where Arnold Palmers flowed from Spanberger-branded beverage dispensers, nurse practitioner Susanna Gibson was also leaning into the same language about freedoms to make her pitch to voters.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Susanna<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Gibson, who said she\u2019s running for one of the most competitive House districts in the state because of the Dobbs decision, told CNN she\u2019s \u201cterrified\u201d of women losing rights in Virginia. (She used similar framing in her response to reports this week that she and her husband had performed sexual acts on a pornographic livestreaming website, accusing unnamed political opponents of trying to silence women.)\n <\/p>\n

\n Gibson told CNN that her GOP opponent David Owen wanted to ban abortion, alluding to a Richmond Times-Dispatch story that published a video from a campaign event at which the retired homebuilder called himself \u201cpro-life\u201d and suggested that votes for \u201coutlawing\u201d the procedure didn\u2019t exist in the legislature.\n <\/p>\n

\n But in a brief interview at the Festival of India in Richmond last weekend, Owen said he supports \u201ca woman\u2019s right to choose\u201d up until 15 weeks, with exceptions \u2013 a notable public usage of the language of \u201cchoice\u201d by a Republican.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cSo nobody knows what the makeup of the legislature is going to be, but whatever it is, I\u2019m not going to vote for a ban. I\u2019m at 15 weeks,\u201d Owen said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Dunnavant has made a similar distinction. \u201cI don\u2019t support an abortion ban. Period,\u201d she says in an ad that features other women stating that Dunnavant doesn\u2019t back a ban and casting assertions to the contrary as \u201cpolitical lies.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n VanValkenburg doesn\u2019t see it that way.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cIf something\u2019s legal and then it becomes illegal, that\u2019s a ban,\u201d he said as the poolside crowd at Saturday\u2019s rally nodded along.\n <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The new epicenter of America\u2019s fight over abortion rights is Henrico County, Virginia, where candidates in bellwether state elections this fall are staking out positions that could test how both parties will try to appeal to moderate voters in 2024. \u201cThey don\u2019t want abortion illegal,\u201d GOP state Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant said of Virginia voters last […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":12455,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[39],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-12454","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-politics"},"yoast_head":"\nThese candidates in Virginia could shape how both parties talk about abortion in 2024 | Prosfunds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The new epicenter of America\u2019s fight over abortion rights is Henrico County, Virginia, where candidates in bellwether state elections this fall are\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/prosfunds.com\/?p=12454\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta 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